Uncategorized substack youtube video bluesky social games entertainment academic x beta distribution binomial distribution error rates maximum entropy rare events risk management statistical estimation statements american university of beirut extreme value theory fat tails power laws thick tails economics videos × ai bloomberg miami hedge fund week nvidia sonali basak moocs christopher chabris correlation explained variance iq twitter false positives fooled by randomness multiple testing spurious correlation general intelligence (g) noise non-linearity psychometrics conferences real world risk workshop rwri rwri 20 writing alexandru stancu