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[X] The Implications of Heavy Tailed Distributions

We’ll update this post with the Zoom link as soon as it’s available. The post [X] The Implications of Heavy Tailed Distributions appeared first on Nassim Taleb.

0 clicks (0 unique) 1 week ago

[YouTube] The Base Rate Fallacy in Cardiology with respect to LDL

People with normal Lp(a) have much lower risk factors. We tend to overmedicate them. The normal levels of LDL should be revised upwards for them. The post [YouTube] The Base...

0 clicks (0 unique) 3 weeks ago

[X] Nassim Nicholas Taleb on ChatGPT: “A Bullshitter That Misses the Central Point”

x.com/nntaleb/status/1898727843057606878 The post [X] Nassim Nicholas Taleb on ChatGPT: “A Bullshitter That Misses the Central Point” appeared first on Nassim Taleb.

3 clicks (3 unique) 3 weeks ago

[YouTube] Does the Ketogenic Diet Work for Brain Cancer? Finding Signal in a Small Sample

Does the Ketogenic Diet Work for Brain Cancer? Doctors find it hard to do a trial, so many make you believe that it does not work rather than simply claiming...

7 clicks (7 unique) 3 weeks ago

[X] Data Hacking and the Large D small N problem

x.com/nntaleb/status/1896556526430806112 The post [X] Data Hacking and the Large D small N problem appeared first on Nassim Taleb.

4 clicks (4 unique) 1 month ago

[X] Nassim Nicholas Taleb on Large Language Models (LLMs) and the Problem of Induction

x.com/nntaleb/status/1895568488389099656 The post [X] Nassim Nicholas Taleb on Large Language Models (LLMs) and the Problem of Induction appeared first on Nassim Taleb.

12 clicks (12 unique) 1 month ago

[X] The Lydian Stone du Jour: P-Hacking Edition

Covering P HACKING and REGRESSION HACKING Minimum words, just results, the opposite of social science long dissertations with no results. x.com/nntaleb/status/1894792684939755918 The post [X] The Lydian Stone du Jour: P-Hacking...

5 clicks (5 unique) 1 month ago

[X] THE LYDIAN STONE DU JOUR

x.com/nntaleb/status/1894412822198575337 THE LYDIAN STONE DU JOURExtracting regression hacking, how much pseudoregression points are expected from m trials.Next, will get p-hacking. The post [X] THE LYDIAN STONE DU JOUR appeared first...

10 clicks (10 unique) 1 month ago

[X] The importance of Taleb’s system

https://twitter.com/BrankoMilan/status/1893784881844584521 The post [X] The importance of Taleb’s system appeared first on Nassim Taleb.

7 clicks (7 unique) 1 month ago

[X] Maximum Ignorance Probability with Application to Error Rates and Rare Events

Link to post – x.com/nntaleb/status/1892340170109653096 The post [X] Maximum Ignorance Probability with Application to Error Rates and Rare Events appeared first on Nassim Taleb.

8 clicks (8 unique) 1 month ago

[X] Nassim Nicholas Taleb to Co-Teach Thick Tail Statistics at the American University of Beirut

The post [X] Nassim Nicholas Taleb to Co-Teach Thick Tail Statistics at the American University of Beirut appeared first on Nassim Taleb.

8 clicks (8 unique) 2 months ago

Bloomberg: Nassim Taleb Says Nvidia Rout ‘Is the Beginning’

Black Swan author Nassim Taleb says the steep plunge in Nvidia exposes the equity market’s fragility, while warning of more losses ahead. Speaking to Bloomberg’s Sonali Basak on the sidelines...

9 clicks (9 unique) 2 months ago

[YouTube] The IQ debate, a conclusion

Just to show, in conclusion to my article “IQ is a pseudoscientific swindle”, that psychologists arguing with it proved that IQ doesn’t explain up to 99.5% of things it is...

9 clicks (9 unique) 2 months ago

[X] Nassim Nicholas Taleb on Multi-Testing: It’s Impossible Not to Find Statistically Significant Links Between Random Variables

It is IMPOSSIBLE to not find a statistically significant link between any 2 random variables under multi-testing. I generated 9 pairs of totally random variables, picked the highest R^2, and...

8 clicks (8 unique) 2 months ago

Nassim Nicholas Taleb Expands on His Critique of IQ and Statistical Misuse

Link to X – x.com/nntaleb/status/1881368835950776820 The post Nassim Nicholas Taleb Expands on His Critique of IQ and Statistical Misuse appeared first on Nassim Taleb.

8 clicks (8 unique) 2 months ago

[X] Nassim Taleb announces #RWRI 20 (Real World Risk Workshop) 2025 (Scholarships/financial aid available)

Number 20: July 7-18, 2025; 8:30-11:45 Eastern Standard Time, plus optional afternoon discussions. Pricing: $2,995(Scholarships/financial aid available for up to 65% of the class). Contact: Alicia Bentham-Williams, [email protected]ï»ż,cc:ï»ż[email protected]ï»ż realworldrisk.com The...

10 clicks (10 unique) 2 months ago

[X] The Shortest Foreword on Antifragile for Two Textbooks

The foreword accompanies the following textbooks: The post [X] The Shortest Foreword on Antifragile for Two Textbooks appeared first on Nassim Taleb.

9 clicks (9 unique) 3 months ago

[X] Nassim Nicholas Taleb Postpones Jaipur Literature Festival (JLF) Attendance to 2026

The Jaipur Literature Festival (JLF), often referred to as the ‘greatest literary show on Earth,’ is a globally renowned annual event that brings together prominent voices from literature, politics, science,...

28 clicks (28 unique) 3 months ago

[X] Year in Review 2024

The post [X] Year in Review 2024 appeared first on Nassim Taleb.

12 clicks (12 unique) 3 months ago