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Odd Lots: Eating Steak With Nassim Taleb and Charlie McElligott

Author Nassim Nicholas Taleb and Nomura strategist Charlie McElligott are well-known for their opinions on things like trading, risk and uncertainty. But they also have very strong opinions on food!...

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3 days ago

Nassim Nicholas Taleb on Scaling LLMs and Why It Won’t Lead to AGI

The post Nassim Nicholas Taleb on Scaling LLMs and Why It Won’t Lead to AGI appeared first on Nassim Taleb.

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4 days ago

[X] Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s The Black Swan Returns to New York Times Bestseller List After 18 Years

You can buy The Black Swan on Amazon The post [X] Nassim Nicholas Taleb’s The Black Swan Returns to New York Times Bestseller List After 18 Years appeared first on...

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5 days ago

[YouTube] Nassim Taleb on Risks, Gold, Private Markets, Trump Tariffs

Nassim Taleb, author of “The Black Swan,” and scientific advisor at Universa Investments, says he doesn’t think the “consciousness of risks” has improved over the last 25 years. He discusses...

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3 weeks ago

[X] Nassim Nicholas Taleb: No Evidence-Based Justification for >0.8g/kg Protein Intake

Link to post on X The post [X] Nassim Nicholas Taleb: No Evidence-Based Justification for >0.8g/kg Protein Intake appeared first on Nassim Taleb.

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3 weeks ago

[X] Nassim Nicholas Taleb Recommends Eric Topol’s Super Agers

It’s available on Amazon – Super Agers: An Evidence-Based Approach to Longevity: Topol, Eric The post [X] Nassim Nicholas Taleb Recommends Eric Topol’s Super Agers appeared first on Nassim Taleb.

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3 weeks ago

[Podcast] Nassim Nicholas Taleb to Appear on Bloomberg’s Odd Lots Live – June 26

Bloomberg’s Odd Lots podcast will hold a live recording in New York City on June 26, 2025, featuring Nassim Nicholas Taleb among several scheduled speakers. The podcast, hosted by Joe...

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1 month ago

[Medium] IQ is largely a pseudoscientific swindle (Argument Closed)

UPDATE ARGUMENT CLOSED (2025): The argument is now closed thanks to paper by Brown, Wai, and Chabris that tried to rebut the piece below, but confirmed all of its conclusions....

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1 month ago

[X] Bitcoin, Currencies, and Fragility (Bitcoin Black Paper)

Link to Paper – arxiv.org/pdf/2106.14204 The post [X] Bitcoin, Currencies, and Fragility (Bitcoin Black Paper) appeared first on Nassim Taleb.

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2 months ago

[YouTube] Discussion with Pierre Zalloua on ‘Ancestors’

A discussion with Pierre Zalloua about his book Ancestors on the Genetic & Cultural History of the Levant. It is the first scientific history of the area, which debunks many...

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2 months ago

[Medium] Foreword to Pierre Zalloua’s book Ancestors: Identity and DNA in the Levant

Some people believe that the Levant is the end of the East and a portal to the West; others describe it as the end of the West and a portal...

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2 months ago

[X] The Implications of Heavy Tailed Distributions

We’ll update this post with the Zoom link as soon as it’s available. The post [X] The Implications of Heavy Tailed Distributions appeared first on Nassim Taleb.

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3 months ago

[YouTube] The Base Rate Fallacy in Cardiology with respect to LDL

People with normal Lp(a) have much lower risk factors. We tend to overmedicate them. The normal levels of LDL should be revised upwards for them. The post [YouTube] The Base...

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3 months ago

[X] Nassim Nicholas Taleb on ChatGPT: “A Bullshitter That Misses the Central Point”

x.com/nntaleb/status/1898727843057606878 The post [X] Nassim Nicholas Taleb on ChatGPT: “A Bullshitter That Misses the Central Point” appeared first on Nassim Taleb.

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3 months ago

[YouTube] Does the Ketogenic Diet Work for Brain Cancer? Finding Signal in a Small Sample

Does the Ketogenic Diet Work for Brain Cancer? Doctors find it hard to do a trial, so many make you believe that it does not work rather than simply claiming...

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4 months ago

[X] Data Hacking and the Large D small N problem

x.com/nntaleb/status/1896556526430806112 The post [X] Data Hacking and the Large D small N problem appeared first on Nassim Taleb.

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4 months ago

[X] Nassim Nicholas Taleb on Large Language Models (LLMs) and the Problem of Induction

x.com/nntaleb/status/1895568488389099656 The post [X] Nassim Nicholas Taleb on Large Language Models (LLMs) and the Problem of Induction appeared first on Nassim Taleb.

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4 months ago

[X] The Lydian Stone du Jour: P-Hacking Edition

Covering P HACKING and REGRESSION HACKING Minimum words, just results, the opposite of social science long dissertations with no results. x.com/nntaleb/status/1894792684939755918 The post [X] The Lydian Stone du Jour: P-Hacking...

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4 months ago

[X] THE LYDIAN STONE DU JOUR

x.com/nntaleb/status/1894412822198575337 THE LYDIAN STONE DU JOURExtracting regression hacking, how much pseudoregression points are expected from m trials.Next, will get p-hacking. The post [X] THE LYDIAN STONE DU JOUR appeared first...

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4 months ago

[X] The importance of Taleb’s system

https://twitter.com/BrankoMilan/status/1893784881844584521 The post [X] The importance of Taleb’s system appeared first on Nassim Taleb.

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4 months ago