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[YouTube] You are Hiring a Person Not a Subcontinent: A Basic Error in The Interpretation of Statistics.
Outlining a basic error in statistical interpretation: statistics works on aggregates, not individual instances. You can only use statistical properties when dealing with groups not individuals –except when the variance...
[Substack] Have Another Drink!
![[Substack] Have Another Drink!](https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!eKIZ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F3fc5669f-e464-483c-a998-cbb3470c3346_1345x611.png)
I have been finding flaws in studies critical of alcohol consumption in low to moderate doses. The one I will examine is the following one used as “definitive” argument in...
[Substack] The Book is a Book, not Disembodied Information
![[Substack] The Book is a Book, not Disembodied Information](https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!U9wZ!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2Fa017ddaa-d991-4bd7-bbe0-c58edefe6114_2338x1630.jpeg)
Continue reading on Substack – nntaleb.substack.com/p/the-book-is-a-book-not-disembodied The post [Substack] The Book is a Book, not Disembodied Information appeared first on Nassim Taleb.
[Podcast] Yeoman Podcast: Geoff Graham in Conversation with Nassim Nicholas Taleb
Geoff sat down with Nassim Nicholas Taleb in his library for a casual conversation. Their discussion began with books and meandered through a dozen topics before concluding for supper. The...
[Substack] A Lebanese Technology Transfer
![[Substack] A Lebanese Technology Transfer](https://substackcdn.com/image/fetch/$s_!bXwC!,w_1456,c_limit,f_webp,q_auto:good,fl_progressive:steep/https%3A%2F%2Fsubstack-post-media.s3.amazonaws.com%2Fpublic%2Fimages%2F47c38113-6632-400a-a533-d27dfaf6956b_378x529.jpeg)
Postface to Abi-Rached and El-Richani’s Lebanon: Anatomy of a Collapse I would like to repeat an aphorism that Lebanon has twice the qualities found in the Mediterranean world, but twice...
[X] A Correction to Falconer’s Twin Correlation Formula for Stochastic Environments
![[X] A Correction to Falconer’s Twin Correlation Formula for Stochastic Environments](https://nassimtaleb.org/wp-content/uploads/correction-falconers-twin-correlation-formula-stochastic-environments.jpg)
Link to Post on X – x.com/nntaleb/status/2083554626226274682 The post [X] A Correction to Falconer’s Twin Correlation Formula for Stochastic Environments appeared first on Nassim Taleb.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb on the Statistical Distance Between the Ultra-Wealthy and Billionaires
Link to Post on X – x.com/nntaleb/status/2076269932694655106 The post Nassim Nicholas Taleb on the Statistical Distance Between the Ultra-Wealthy and Billionaires appeared first on Nassim Taleb.
Nassim Nicholas Taleb on Bryan Johnson’s 100-Pill Regimen and Higher-Order Drug Interactions
Nassim Nicholas Taleb calculates the number of possible pairwise and higher-order interactions in Bryan Johnson’s reported 100-pill regimen. Link to Post on X – x.com/nntaleb/status/2075765618955981177 The post Nassim Nicholas Taleb...
[X] Nassim Nicholas Taleb on Varentropy, Kurtosis, and Fat-Tailedness
![[X] Nassim Nicholas Taleb on Varentropy, Kurtosis, and Fat-Tailedness](https://nassimtaleb.org/wp-content/uploads/taleb-varentropy-v2.jpg)
Link to Post on X – x.com/nntaleb/status/2071313745716953299 The post [X] Nassim Nicholas Taleb on Varentropy, Kurtosis, and Fat-Tailedness appeared first on Nassim Taleb.
[X] Lindy as Distance from an Absorbing Barrier
![[X] Lindy as Distance from an Absorbing Barrier](https://nassimtaleb.org/wp-content/uploads/lindy-as-distance-from-an-absorbing-barrier-1024x859.jpg)
The Lindy technical paper is out, with comments on aging and immortality. Link to Post on X – x.com/nntaleb/status/2070162507566604683 The post [X] Lindy as Distance from an Absorbing Barrier appeared...
[X] Nassim Taleb announces #RWRI 21 (Real World Risk Workshop) 2026 scholarships for women
![[X] Nassim Taleb announces #RWRI 21 (Real World Risk Workshop) 2026 scholarships for women](https://nassimtaleb.org/wp-content/uploads/rwri-21-scholarships-1024x666.jpg)
Friends, women scholarships are available for #RWRI 21 summer school (June 29-July 10, online). We gave an average of 80% scholarships to qualified women so far (and up to 99%...
[YouTube] Building Antifragile Systems: Nassim Nicholas Taleb on Debt, AI, and the New Global Order
At Visa GCC Connect 2025, bestselling author of The Black Swan and Antifragile, Nassim Nicholas Taleb, issued a stark warning: the real fragilities aren’t hidden, they’re in plain sight. From...
[X] Nassim Nicholas Taleb: Tutorial on n Trials With 1/n Probability
![[X] Nassim Nicholas Taleb: Tutorial on n Trials With 1/n Probability](https://nassimtaleb.org/wp-content/uploads/taleb-n-trials.png)
Link to Post on X – x.com/nntaleb/status/2046198980619505680 The post [X] Nassim Nicholas Taleb: Tutorial on n Trials With 1/n Probability appeared first on Nassim Taleb.
[X] Nassim Nicholas Taleb Releases Paper on the Lindy Effect
![[X] Nassim Nicholas Taleb Releases Paper on the Lindy Effect](https://nassimtaleb.org/wp-content/uploads/taleb-lindy.jpg)
Link to Post on X – x.com/nntaleb/status/2046602966023426235 The post [X] Nassim Nicholas Taleb Releases Paper on the Lindy Effect appeared first on Nassim Taleb.
[X] Nassim Nicholas Taleb Says AI Is Reducing Wikipedia Traffic, Even in Stable Math Topics
![[X] Nassim Nicholas Taleb Says AI Is Reducing Wikipedia Traffic, Even in Stable Math Topics](https://nassimtaleb.org/wp-content/uploads/victim-ai-wiki-mse.jpg)
Link to Post on X – x.com/nntaleb/status/2036156236140294255 The post [X] Nassim Nicholas Taleb Says AI Is Reducing Wikipedia Traffic, Even in Stable Math Topics appeared first on Nassim Taleb.
[X] Nassim Nicholas Taleb on Aging, Memory Decline, and Filtering Information
![[X] Nassim Nicholas Taleb on Aging, Memory Decline, and Filtering Information](https://nassimtaleb.org/wp-content/uploads/super-agers-neurons.jpg)
Link to Post on X – x.com/nntaleb/status/2032861597413015670 Link to Nature article – nature.com/articles/d41586-026-00599-5 The post [X] Nassim Nicholas Taleb on Aging, Memory Decline, and Filtering Information appeared first on Nassim...
[X] Nassim Nicholas Taleb Says X Money Is “Much Smarter” Than Bitcoin
![[X] Nassim Nicholas Taleb Says X Money Is “Much Smarter” Than Bitcoin](https://nassimtaleb.org/wp-content/uploads/taleb-on-x-money-1024x429.png)
Link to Post on X – x.com/nntaleb/status/2031719331361427837 The post [X] Nassim Nicholas Taleb Says X Money Is “Much Smarter” Than Bitcoin appeared first on Nassim Taleb.
[X] Statistics for the Four Population Test
![[X] Statistics for the Four Population Test](https://nassimtaleb.org/wp-content/uploads/statistics-for-the-four-population-test-992x1024.png)
Link to the Post on X – x.com/nntaleb/status/2030266326925615478 The post [X] Statistics for the Four Population Test appeared first on Nassim Taleb.
[Bloomberg] Nassim Taleb Warns About Software Bankruptcies, Volatility
Nassim Taleb, author of “The Black Swan” and distinguished scientist at Universa Investments, warns that markets are underpricing structural risks while overestimating the durability of recent AI leaders. Speaking with...
[X] Hidden Optionalities and Risks in American Options
![[X] Hidden Optionalities and Risks in American Options](https://nassimtaleb.org/wp-content/uploads/hidden-optionalities-and-risks-in-american-options.jpg)
Link to Post on X – x.com/nntaleb/status/2021617572467368374 Link to Paper – arxiv.org/pdf/2602.14350 The post [X] Hidden Optionalities and Risks in American Options appeared first on Nassim Taleb.