2025-04-18
All Forecasting Is Conditional Forecasting
Published on April 18, 2025 2:35 AM GMTThis work was done jointly with Rajashree Agrawal. We'd like to thank the Epoch AI summer mentorship project, led with Forecasting Research Institute,...
Conditional Forecasting as Model Parameterization
Published on April 18, 2025 2:35 AM GMTThis work was done jointly with Rajashree Agrawal. We'd like to thank the Epoch AI summer mentorship project, led with Forecasting Research Institute,...
The U.S. Air Force’s Great Pilot Shortage
Summary and Key Points: The U.S. Air Force is facing a severe shortage of trained pilots, with a deficit of approximately 2,000, including over 1,000 fighter pilots. -Decades of downsizing...
TnT-LLM: LLMs for Automated Text Taxonomy and Classification
This paper presents TnT-LLM, a framework leveraging LLMs to automate large-scale text analysis, including label generation and efficient classifier training.
TnT-LLM: Automating Text Taxonomy Generation and Classification With Large Language Models
We begin with a high-level overview of TnT-LLM, our proposed two-phase framework for 1) LLM-powered taxonomy generation and 2) LLM-augmented text classification.
Batched Prompting for Efficient GPT-4 Annotatio
This section outlines the Batched Prompting approach used to annotate preferences efficiently with GPT-4, where all candidate responses are evaluated in a single batch rather than individually. The cost analysis...
Timeless Tips for “Simple Sabotage” From the CIA
In 1944, the OSS (the precursor to the CIA) produced a document called the Simple Sabotage Field Manual (PDF). It was designed to be used by agents in the field...
Path of Exile 2 backlash gives Last Epoch a 150,000-player boost as the competing action RPG launches a major update
As one action RPG stumbles, another accelerates past it.
How to Set Up Simhub With Gran Turismo 7
Gran ==Turismo== 7 (==GT7==) game data can now be accessed with standard networking protocols. Telemetry data needed for racing lights, analog gauges, butt-kickers, and even motion are now available to...
I love this interactive visualization by The Pudding of the shared DNA...
I love this interactive visualization by The Pudding of the shared DNA of music (i.e. how “borrowed beats, loaned lyrics, and multipurpose melodies” are passed down through generations of music,...
2025-04-17
What Is Go Protobuf? Exploring The New Opaque API
This blog post explains the motivation for creating a new API and shows you how to use it in your projects.
After printing thousands of shirts, our team is now shipping them! Some people have already receive
After printing thousands of shirts, our team is now shipping them! Some people have already received a shipping tracking code via email today. We'll continue sending these out over the...
The Army’s M60 Main Battle Tank Summed Up in 4 Words
Summary and Key Points: The M60 tank, derived from the M48 Patton, served as America’s primary main battle tank during the Cold War and into the 1990s Gulf War, retiring...
Olympic Gold Medalist Dominates the 100m at Her Kid’s Sports Day Event
If you’re one of those people who watches the Olympics and wishes they’d put a normal person in the competition so we can see how fast the athletes really are,...
RANKED: 5 Best .38 Special Revolvers for Self Defense
Summary and Key Points: The .38 Special revolver is a classic choice for self-defense, valued for reliability, simplicity, and effective stopping power. -Key models include Smith & Wesson’s Model 686...
The Ethics Board of Axon Resigned Over Taser-Armed Drones - Then the Company Went Even Further
Less than 10 days after the Robb Elementary School shooting in Uvalde, Texas, late last May, Axon Enterprises CEO Rick Smith announced the company had formally started developing Taser-equipped drones
Taiwan Flying the F-35 Fighter Would Be No ‘Silver Bullet’ Against China
Summary and Key Points: Taiwan is reportedly considering a major $15 billion U.S. arms deal including F-35A fighters, E-2 Hawkeye AEW aircraft, naval vessels, and missile defense systems to counter...
The Rise of the Infinite Fringe. “It used to be easy to...
The Rise of the Infinite Fringe. “It used to be easy to kill a conspiracy theory. But the internet has made them immortal — and politically powerful.”
How the State Department Pushed Albania from Democracy to Narco-State
On May 11, 2025, Albanians will head to the polls to elect a new parliament. If Prime Minister Edi Rama, head of the Socialist Party of Albania has his way,...
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